On Friday, the euro fell by 30 pips without reaching support at 1.0777. The Marlin oscillator on the daily chart is now rising ahead of the price. The nearest resistance at 1.0882 will likely be reached independently of the U.S. elections, as the price entered a “free-floating” mode from the 1.0950 level, where technical reversal signals for a rise up to 1.1076 were overridden.

In the previous analysis, we mentioned the potential for the price to rise toward 1.1076, regardless of the election outcome. Currently, we confirm a technical reversal in the price with a 65% probability and expect it to approach the first target at 1.0882.

On the H4 chart, the Marlin oscillator’s signal line turns upward from the neutral zero line. Friday’s corrective decline stopped near the MACD line, which is approaching the 1.0777 support level, strengthening it. A breakout above the October 17 low of 1.0812 will indicate that the euro is prepared to continue rising toward the first target resistance.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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Jeff Wecker
Jeff Wecker

Jeff Wecker, the inventor of Forex Forager, is a former member of the Chicago Board of Trade. There, Jeff learned his craft in the 30-year bond pit, trading against the world's best, and now has survived and prospered in the industry for the past 25 years. He took the unique knowledge he gained at the CBOT and transitioned it to online trading, where he traded FX, commodities, stock indices, and bonds – all using his unique 5 pip/tick risk system. Visit us at Global Fx Trading Group