As anticipated in yesterday’s analysis, the Marlin oscillator’s signal line has reached the October low at -0.0196, which is highly likely to be broken. A temporary pause in the oscillator may encourage the price to consolidate below 1.0590. However, the target range of 1.0449/83 is already open.

Today’s Eurozone GDP data for Q3 is set for release, with a consensus forecast of a 0.4% increase. However, weak industrial production data for September, expected to show a decline of 1.3% m/m (-2.0% y/y), may temper optimism.

On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has slightly reshaped its wedge pattern but has not altered the overall situation. Since the price has already consolidated below 1.0590, the likelihood of a breakout downward from the wedge has increased. We expect the price to reach the indicated target range.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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Jeff Wecker
Jeff Wecker

Jeff Wecker, the inventor of Forex Forager, is a former member of the Chicago Board of Trade. There, Jeff learned his craft in the 30-year bond pit, trading against the world's best, and now has survived and prospered in the industry for the past 25 years. He took the unique knowledge he gained at the CBOT and transitioned it to online trading, where he traded FX, commodities, stock indices, and bonds – all using his unique 5 pip/tick risk system. Visit us at Global Fx Trading Group