Against the backdrop of yesterday’s expectations for today’s consumer price data, the euro fell by 44 points, as the forecast for the overall CPI represents a CPI unchanged from March at 5.0% YoY, and the core with a slight decrease to 5.5% YoY from March’s 5.6% YoY. And if the forecast comes true, market participants will be more confident in their belief that the Fed will keep their monetary policy unchanged.

On the weekly chart, the divergence is intensifying. And if reversals are not created on smaller charts, a potential rally to 1.1110 or higher is unlikely.

On the daily chart, yesterday’s growth was interrupted by the balance indicator line, and this morning a correction is taking place; we will consider its potential on the four-hour chart. On the daily chart, the price is striving for the target of 1.0910 – to the embedded price channel line of the monthly chart.

On the four-hour chart, the price has settled below both indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator is discharging in the negative area. The correction may continue to the MACD line, around the 1.1007 mark. If yesterday’s low of 1.0942 is surpassed, the price will make its first attempt to break through 1.0910.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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Jeff Wecker
Jeff Wecker

Jeff Wecker, the inventor of Forex Forager, is a former member of the Chicago Board of Trade. There, Jeff learned his craft in the 30-year bond pit, trading against the world's best, and now has survived and prospered in the industry for the past 25 years. He took the unique knowledge he gained at the CBOT and transitioned it to online trading, where he traded FX, commodities, stock indices, and bonds – all using his unique 5 pip/tick risk system. Visit us at Global Fx Trading Group