The euro is approaching the support level at 1.0738. The Marlin oscillator has backed off from attacking the zero line and has turned around as it approaches it. On the euro’s path towards the target at 1.0600, there are at least three strong support levels: the nearest ones are at 1.0738, 1.0716, and 1.0692.
There are no major macroeconomic news today, but tomorrow’s important event will be the release of the May CPI in the US, and forecasts already suggest a slowdown in inflation (4.9-5.0% YoY compared to April’s 4.9% YoY, although the range of forecasts varies depending on the analytical agency and individual groups of economists).
The yield on US government bonds is not decreasing and remains at the peaks of June 7-9, technically leaning towards growth. This sentiment is also felt in gold, which has declined in value for the second consecutive day. The market probability of a rate hike on Wednesday has slightly increased from 25.3% to 29.9%. If tomorrow’s CPI data does exhibit growth, investors will significantly raise this probability, and the markets will psychologically be prepared for an actual rate hike. Today, the volatility is likely to be low, and the day’s close will be slightly lower.
On the four-hour chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is approaching the zero line and may meet it when the price touches 1.0738. Afterwards, we expect the price to move sideways.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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