Yesterday’s attempt to break through the support of 1.0150 failed. After a decline of 83 points, the price was tossed and the day closed at the opening level. At this time, the signal line of the Marlin Oscillator reached the border with the growing trend territory and, according to the main scenario, it can now turn down from it, which will help the price overcome the support of 1.0150. This will be followed by a decline to the level of 1.0020.
Another scenario allows the price to reach the resistance of the MACD line (1.0292) and only then turn down. An alternative scenario suggests an attack on the target level of 1.0360.
The bears’ situation looks more alarming on the four-hour scale. The price bounced off the support of the MACD line for the third time and the Marlin Oscillator moved into the growing trend zone. The euro could weaken again if we receive disappointing data on the GDP of the eurozone, which will be released today. The quarterly forecast is 0.2%. The data should be weaker than predicted.
Yesterday, the US GDP for the 2nd quarter showed a contraction of 0.9% against the forecast growth of 0.5%, so the data on the euro area may also be negative. If European data turns out to be stronger, EUR/USD will try to work out the upper targets.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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