Yesterday, the S&P 500 rose by 0.78% setting a new record, gold rose by 1.94%, and the euro stopped retreating. Thus, the single currency closed the day up by 5 pips. Nevertheless, oil continued to fall, down 1.44% on Tuesday, supporting the bearish mood of the counter-dollar currencies. The Australian dollar was down 24 pips yesterday.

On the day chart, the price divergence with the Marlin oscillator nearly didn’t strengthen, but the quote never went above the resistance level of 1.0905. The price needs to fall below yesterday’s low as soon as possible, otherwise the current consolidation below the level will make it possible for the bulls to gain confidence so they can consolidate above the resistance and resume growth under the alternative scenario, rising up to 1.0964 or even higher.

On the 4-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator tried to fall below the zero line, but the first attempt failed. This morning, the MACD line came closer to the price, it will be easier to overcome it (1.0879), so today we expect a better bearish breakout. A consolidation below the MACD line will automatically mean overcoming yesterday’s low, and together it can push the euro towards the nearest target of 1.0788 (May 30 low).

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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Jeff Wecker
Jeff Wecker

Jeff Wecker, the inventor of Forex Forager, is a former member of the Chicago Board of Trade. There, Jeff learned his craft in the 30-year bond pit, trading against the world's best, and now has survived and prospered in the industry for the past 25 years. He took the unique knowledge he gained at the CBOT and transitioned it to online trading, where he traded FX, commodities, stock indices, and bonds – all using his unique 5 pip/tick risk system. Visit us at Global Fx Trading Group