Last week it nearly closed at the opening level. The price did not approach the MACD line on the weekly chart, and the MACD line moved lower, settling in the area where support is at 1.0410.

The price has lost a major thing – momentum. Now it will be harder to overcome the MACD line. Being able to do so will open the target level at 1.0205 (high on September 12). Anyway, the weekly candlestick is already moving above the MACD line, and the only thing that can stop the price from going up is the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting.

On the daily chart, the divergence and its angle are still unclear. Either the divergence has formed, or the price will reach the target range at 1.0615/42, and the divergence will form along the less steep slope.

On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has penetrated into the bears’ area. The price has crossed the area under the support of the MACD line and under the balance line (red sliding line). There is a high probability of a downward movement.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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Jeff Wecker
Jeff Wecker

Jeff Wecker, the inventor of Forex Forager, is a former member of the Chicago Board of Trade. There, Jeff learned his craft in the 30-year bond pit, trading against the world's best, and now has survived and prospered in the industry for the past 25 years. He took the unique knowledge he gained at the CBOT and transitioned it to online trading, where he traded FX, commodities, stock indices, and bonds – all using his unique 5 pip/tick risk system. Visit us at Global Fx Trading Group