Analysis of transactions in the EUR / USD pair

Joe Biden’s victory in the US elections led to the continued rise of the European currency, and the weak statistics on the eurozone and good statistics on the US labor market did not even limit or halt it, thereby confirming the fact that election results were far more influential in the further direction of the euro and the dollar. Looking at it more closely, long positions from the level of 1.1845 brought about an increase of more than 40 pips, then, after a slight correction, the breakout from 1.1845 led to an immediate recovery in the EUR / USD pair.

Trading recommendations for November 9

Although Biden won in the US elections, a sharp increase in the European currency was not observed. Perhaps, this is due to the fact that many traders now see fears not in the political ambitions of Biden and the new stimulus package in the US, but in the problems of recovering the GDP of the eurozone and the services sector, especially since the economy could again be seriously affected by the recent new lockdowns. Nonetheless, the bullish momentum still remains, so trades will continue to be with the trend.

Open a long position when the euro reaches a quote of 1.1899 (green line on the chart), and then take profit at the level of 1.1957. Growth may occur during Christine Lagarde’s speech today. Open a short position when the euro reaches a quote of 1.1871 (red line on the chart, and then take profit around the level of 1.1814. A downward correction is very much expected, after the strong bull market last week.

Analysis of transactions in the GBP / USD pair

The pound spent the whole day last Friday trading in a sideways channel, failing to move specifically in any direction. Nonetheless, demand for it remains, and in order for it to increase further, a breakout to a new high is needed.

Trading recommendations for November 9

There is a low chance that today’s statements from the Bank of England will affect the rate of the British pound, however, if it announces the central bank’s serious intention of not resorting to negative interest rates, demand for the currency will certainly grow very sharply. In that case, the best action is to look more closely at long positions.

Open a long position when the quote reaches the level of 1.3200 (green line on the chart), and then take profit around the level of 1.3254 (thicker green line on the chart). The upcoming speech of Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey may raise the position of the British pound in the market. Open a short position when the quote reaches the level of 1.3166 (red line on the chart), and then take profit at least at the level of 1.3112. Bad news on Brexit will return the downward trend in the GBP/USD pair.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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Jeff Wecker
Jeff Wecker

Jeff Wecker, the inventor of Forex Forager, is a former member of the Chicago Board of Trade. There, Jeff learned his craft in the 30-year bond pit, trading against the world's best, and now has survived and prospered in the industry for the past 25 years. He took the unique knowledge he gained at the CBOT and transitioned it to online trading, where he traded FX, commodities, stock indices, and bonds – all using his unique 5 pip/tick risk system. Visit us at Global Fx Trading Group