The euro continues its slow technical upward movement within the trading range of 1.0461–1.0598, awaiting the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. The Marlin oscillator has firmly entered positive territory, suggesting that the single currency’s upward movement may continue today.
However, if the price reverses following the Fed meeting, it does not necessarily have to reach the 1.0598 resistance level, as the overall trend remains bearish. The balance line (red moving average) may act as an insurmountable obstacle, similar to what occurred on December 6 (as indicated by the arrow).
On the 4-hour chart, the price is rising below the MACD line (1.0543). Consolidation above 1.0543 will increase the probability of testing 1.0598. The price appears to be narrowing its consolidation range, approximately 1.0461–1.0543.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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