Yesterday, the euro lacked the courage to initiate consolidation ahead of the strong resistance level at 1.0613. The price retreated from the daily balance indicator line and dropped below the support level at 1.0552. However, the Marlin oscillator managed to stay in the positive territory. Therefore, consolidation to attack the Fibonacci ray at 1.0613 may form above 1.0552.

The reason for this could be today’s US data; weekly jobless claims are expected to increase from 209,000 to 212,000, and existing home sales for September could decrease from 4.04 million to 3.89 million. On the 4-hour chart, the price is now below the level of 1.0552 and below the balance and MACD indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator has entered the downtrend territory.

The situation appears bearish, but the general trend may lift the quote above the MACD line, where strategic consolidation will take place. If the price stays below yesterday’s low at 1.0524, it could push the euro towards the support level at 1.0483. Below this we can find the price channel line at 1.0456.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

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Jeff Wecker
Jeff Wecker

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